How many seats do you predict federal Labor will lose in 2013 election? (1 Viewer)

[Sathius005]

A) 10
B) 20
C) 30
D) 40
Labor now has 71 seats out of the 150 seats in the House of Representatives.If an election was held on 26/08/2013 the aggregate polling shows that Labor would lose 12 seats. Under Julia Gillard Labor would have lost 40 seats. Most election analysts predict that Labor will lose 10-20 seats. What do you think?

 

[wannaspoon]

I actually think its going to be a closer race than people would like to think...

I reckon about 5 -7 (12 is the doomsday scenario or is the absolute worst case scenario...) (there is a none of the above selector)... they are mostly going to lose, however, I could be wrong...

going to laugh when the liberals take government, fail at it and kick Tony Abbott out to the backbench (I'm just hoping we don't have another liberal government that gets control of the senate too)...

 

[soloooooo]

10

 

[soloooooo]

It is going to be closer to 20 now.

 

[wannaspoon]

I wasn't that far off... I said 12, its probably going to be 16...

 

[soloooooo]

.

 

[JT145]

Gillard would have lost 40 seats?

Really?....

 

[soloooooo]

Gillard would have lost 40 seats?

Really?....

Easily.

 

[wannaspoon]

Easily.

Labour would have been lucky to get 20 seats if Julia was still around... it would have been the 2011 NSW election all over again... good on Kevin Rudd, have to admit it was a fair effort...

 

[Sathius005]

I congratulate Kevin Rudd in leading the Labor party to a smaller defeat than would have been the case if Julia Gillard was Prime Minister of Australia. I think Kevin Rudd's Labor will lose 14 seats. I think this is a great result for the ALP. Labor under Julia Gillard would have lost a minimum of 40 seats. Julia Gillard was toxic for Labor in 2013. Labor's primary vote went down to its lowest vote in 100 years.
The result that I predict is:
-57 seats ALP
-89 seats LNP

 

[soloooooo]

Labour would have been lucky to get 20 seats if Julia was still around... it would have been the 2011 NSW election all over again... good on Kevin Rudd, have to admit it was a fair effort...

I agree.