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You are correct. My mistake: the territories put up all their Senate seats (two) for election every single election, rather than half. And the territories use preferential voting instead of proportional representation for the Senate. Odd. Indeed. It'll be a very interesting election, whenever...

Got a link? I searched for something like that but all it gave was Labour primary votes I believe. Edit: Ah, found it. This isn't much better, since it underestimates the Greens primary as it asks for Lower House voting intentions. Still, by this metric they'd get a 2-3 seats in Tas, 1-2 Seats...

I know most people aren't interested, but I like crunching numbers and may as well submit them after I've done so. The below case assumes a DD is called this year. It's not perfect (for one it is based on State instead of Federal voting intentions, but we can assume these are fairly similar)...

Well, the Australian public and Australian government think his whole tenure was an economic sham, so I guess the feelings mutual.

It's funny because as much as I dislike the National party, Joyce is one of the few Coalition members who I think has the balls to do what's right for his constituents rather than some grand overarching Liberal political scheme, and he's not afraid to cross the floor to show it. It'd be a shame...

They can filter it all they want. If they actually filter it, and if the Greens + Coalition don't unfilter it in Parliament, then it'll just make people flock to (or stay on) Telstra's copper lines till the government caves into economic pressure and unfilters it. But I'm pretty sure that...

Wow. I didn't realise it until I read this, but a double dissolution would absolutely rape the Coalition. Namely, quota in a DD is only 7.7%. That means a Greens senator in every state on the Green primary vote alone, 2 in Tasmania, and even one in the ACT! (but not NT). On top of that, they'd...

You do understand MoE right? It's meaningless to assign value to a 1 or 2% rise or fall. As for actual long-term trends, Greens support seems to rise a lot after an election, fall slightly in the lead-up to an election, and then increase again on election day. I'd wager nationwide 9% in the...

For those interested, here's a goodly piece of data. Newspoll Federal primary vote shares for the past 15+ years: http://newspoll.com.au/cgi-bin/polling/display_poll_data.pl?mode=trend&page=continue_results&question_id=2472&url_caller= I like Newspoll because they seem the most reliable and...

I'll check ACNielsen, but I don't think so. Greens primary vote has been steady between 8% and 12% for a while now (fluctuates with the each month with seemingly no rhyme or reason beyond statistical variation)... Seems ordinary? Check the margin of error. I believe it's +/- 2.5%. Oh, and...

Rudd's approval fell 10 points to 64%. Turnbull's is about 45% I believe? Newspoll's already out at 55-45 (for the 4th May). I doubt you'll see it drop further since the other polls have started bouncing back from their lows of 54 or so.

Ignore this person. 9.04 is far and away the best Linux distro yet. It has a bunch of speed, performance, and drivers improvements which I think you'd miss if you went back to 8.10. Good to see you fixed the problem, though it's odd since Ubuntu has had DVI support for years.

I would suggest you use Chrome, Firefox, Safari, or Opera. Probably in that order. Don't even bother with Internet Explorer. Comparing the newest versions of all browsers, their JavaScript speed is: Safari 4 > Chrome 2 > Opera 10 > Firefox 3.5 > IE 8. Although Opera 10 runs 50% slower than...

I'd be more than happy for you to cite your claims. Note: an addictive substance isn't 'benign'.

Sorry, but you Libertarians lose my support when you go around trying to tout the virtues of heroine. Honestly, you guys have no clue how to explain your agenda to the common man. Perhaps it's simply too extreme for that to even be possible.

Also, Rudd is building the largest solar project in the world (3 times bigger than the current largest in California). It'll be composed of about 4 solar power stations, each producing as much electricity as a coal-fired power station. Rudd plans 'world's largest' solar project - ABC News...

Hmm. The Greens have lowered their carbon cut aim to 25% (from 40%) and notified Rudd about that. Good. 40% was not really politically possible. Meanwhile, Rudd looks like he's going to delay the scheme till 2011, but raise the cut to 25%. It's not ideal, but it's a darn sight better than the...

More on the Fremantle by-election: It'll be interesting to see if this seat is sustainable.

I'm pretty sure the law already provides protections for ages 14 and older (actually, from memory only some states do - e.g. 14 and 16 is legal, 14 and 17 not) If anybody is having sex with a 13 year old or younger it's pretty wrong anyway, though I imagine a 13 and 14 year old wouldn't be...

I see no problem with this as long as there is no spike in STD rates (i.e. use a condom for Pete's sake). We need less repression, not more. Repression leads to guilt which leads to things like depression, suicide, and homocidial murder sprees. Countless studies (I know, I should cite sources)...