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Economics Predictions/Thoughts (1 Viewer)

bigupsanky

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I am not familiar with the accuracy of any predictions, but generally would say not to trust any haha! A better use of time is spent understanding the types of questions that come up more often, prioritising your study in those areas, and then moving into less common areas and seeing if you would be able to tackle them as well. No one really know so predictions are just luck! I had a go at using machine learning to see if it will work as a fun side task, but I wouldn't trust it - nor for anyone else. I think people have been complaining about another tutors wrong prediction but if you put all your hope in a prediction then its your fault at the end of the day.
hmm yeah same i dont really trust predictions either but this has been coming up a lot so i was just wondering. rn im tryna close all gaps in eco and biz and get prepared for every essay possible
 

lawfirm

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eco feels like both the easiest and hardest subject to study for because there's so much overlapping content so studying like just topic 3 ends up helping the others, but then there's so many different little niche things and stats
 

bigupsanky

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eco feels like both the easiest and hardest subject to study for because there's so much overlapping content so studying like just topic 3 ends up helping the others, but then there's so many different little niche things and stats
yea i agree there is so much content to go through for me and i dont know if im supposed to try and have stats for all points in each topic.
 

lawfirm

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yea i agree there is so much content to go through for me and i dont know if im supposed to try and have stats for all points in each topic.
I think that there's gonna be a focus on protectionism in the essays which ima get stats for, maybe a stimulus where they also tie it into topic 1 and use it as a segue into discussing the effects of globalisation where they force you into the negative of protectionist policies having a greater impact on open market economies like Aus. I doubt the case study cause there's more to examine from current trends then India 30 years ago but like still gotta spend hours memorising
 

bigupsanky

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I think that there's gonna be a focus on protectionism in the essays which ima get stats for, maybe a stimulus where they also tie it into topic 1 and use it as a segue into discussing the effects of globalisation where they force you into the negative of protectionist policies having a greater impact on open market economies like Aus. I doubt the case study cause there's more to examine from current trends then India 30 years ago but like still gotta spend hours memorising
yeahhh also i reckon there's gonna be an individual monetary, fiscal and micro policies. and theres also a high chance of distribution of income coming as an economic issues question
 

mishpie

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the amount of stats that i need to know rlly annoys me. anyways #highkeyfeelingcookedforeco!
 

lawfirm

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what case study does everyone have. I've also heard that some schools aren't even doing one? is that true... cause is that like breaking the syllabus and very not allowed
 

bigbird102

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what case study does everyone have. I've also heard that some schools aren't even doing one? is that true... cause is that like breaking the syllabus and very not allowed
my schools got Brazil. unlikely to pop up but always worth to revise i reckon.
 
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anyone have any like very nuanced short topics. for example or maybe this just me, but stuff like a 'two-speed economy' or any very hard short answer questions

2022: Explain likely changes to the structure of industry in Australia as a result of current trends in the global economy (5 marks, Medium Difficulty)

2020: Discuss Australia's involvement in One bilateral trade agreement (6 marks, Medium)

2023: Assess the effectiveness of using microeconomic policies to reduce unemployment in Australia (5 marks, Medium difficulty)

2024: Assess the effectiveness of one market-based policy in managing environmental issues in thee Australia economy (5 marks, medium difficulty)
 

lawfirm

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2022: Explain likely changes to the structure of industry in Australia as a result of current trends in the global economy (5 marks, Medium Difficulty)

2020: Discuss Australia's involvement in One bilateral trade agreement (6 marks, Medium)

2023: Assess the effectiveness of using microeconomic policies to reduce unemployment in Australia (5 marks, Medium difficulty)

2024: Assess the effectiveness of one market-based policy in managing environmental issues in thee Australia economy (5 marks, medium difficulty)
How would these be as a premise using current examples.

2022: Due to global trends towards renewable energy and transportation, critical minerals are growing in demand. Due to our developed mining sector and resource abundance, the Australian economy will likely shift towards such critical minerals to create a global comparative advantage. E.g. 'Future Made in Australia Policy'

2022: AUSFTA. US is our second biggest two way trade partner. Also, our highest two-way investment flows are with the US. This free trade agreement and long-term relationship also catalysed the recent Critical Minerals Investment Flow.

2023: The Albanese Government's 'Fee Free TAFE' policy aims to promote 'upskilling' and 'retraining' into industries with a current supply shortage (e.g. care and construction). Therefore, as well as boosting aggregate supply across the economy, this microeconomic policy will also help reduce structural unemployment though retraining individuals with a 'mismatched' skillset. Due to the long time lag on education and microeconomic structural reform, the current pass rate of entered programs is only about 30%, far below the national average for TAFE of about 80%, although after a period of time this should increase.

2024: The Gillard Government introduced a carbon pricing scheme where firms were discouraged from producing carbon (a greenhouse gas) emissions through taxation - a market based approach. Although the implementation time lag was short due to being a simple tax, the policy was highly criticised and became ineffective when abolished by the Abbot govt.

Sorry they got a bit long at the end
 

bigbird102

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most important stats to memorise??? i have none😬
current stats (ie inflation, unemployment), stats on covid and post-Covid for macro essays. domestic and global protection stats as well and current Trump stats (ie tariffs currently)
 
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How would these be as a premise using current examples.

2022: Due to global trends towards renewable energy and transportation, critical minerals are growing in demand. Due to our developed mining sector and resource abundance, the Australian economy will likely shift towards such critical minerals to create a global comparative advantage. E.g. 'Future Made in Australia Policy'

2022: AUSFTA. US is our second biggest two way trade partner. Also, our highest two-way investment flows are with the US. This free trade agreement and long-term relationship also catalysed the recent Critical Minerals Investment Flow.

2023: The Albanese Government's 'Fee Free TAFE' policy aims to promote 'upskilling' and 'retraining' into industries with a current supply shortage (e.g. care and construction). Therefore, as well as boosting aggregate supply across the economy, this microeconomic policy will also help reduce structural unemployment though retraining individuals with a 'mismatched' skillset. Due to the long time lag on education and microeconomic structural reform, the current pass rate of entered programs is only about 30%, far below the national average for TAFE of about 80%, although after a period of time this should increase.

2024: The Gillard Government introduced a carbon pricing scheme where firms were discouraged from producing carbon (a greenhouse gas) emissions through taxation - a market based approach. Although the implementation time lag was short due to being a simple tax, the policy was highly criticised and became ineffective when abolished by the Abbot govt.

Sorry they got a bit long at the end


2022 – Structure of Industry

Top-band criterion: Provides a comprehensive explanation of how current trends in the global economy may change the structure of industry in Australia.

Your response identifies a clear global trend -the shift toward renewable energy and transportation (probably could've said electrification of transportation though) - and correctly links it to Australia’s comparative advantage in critical minerals through the Future Made in Australia Policy. This shows solid understanding of contemporary drivers of industrial change. However, it lacks explicit reference to the term structure of industry (e.g. shifts between the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors), overlooks other global trends such as digitalisation and near-shoring, and omits supporting data that would demonstrate the magnitude of this transition. It partially meets the criterion but needs a broader and more evidence-based explanation to be comprehensive.

2020 – Bilateral Trade Agreement

Top-band criterion: Provides detailed points for and/or against Australia’s involvement in one bilateral trade agreement.

Your answer accurately identifies AUSFTA and recognises the strength of Australia’s trade and investment ties with the US, capturing the ongoing relevance of the relationship. The reference to critical-minerals investment shows awareness of how older trade agreements evolve in current contexts. Yet, the response lacks detailed arguments for or against Australia’s involvement and omits key features of the agreement (e.g. tariff reductions). It also needs quantitative support (e.g. trade volumes or growth figures) to reach the “detailed” level expected. Overall, it demonstrates sound understanding but falls short of the depth and evaluative balance required for the top band.


2023 – Microeconomic Policies and Unemployment

Top-band criterion: Makes a comprehensive judgement regarding the effectiveness of microeconomic policies on unemployment.

Your response shows clear understanding of the Fee-Free TAFE initiative, explaining its aim to reduce structural unemployment through reskilling and upskilling, and includes insightful evaluation about low completion rates and implementation lags. These points demonstrate knowledge of both policy mechanism and limitation. However, it doesn’t make a strong or explicit judgement about the overall effectiveness of such policies, and it leans slightly toward macro-economic language (aggregate supply) rather than micro outcomes like productivity or labour mobility. With clearer evaluative phrasing (e.g. “moderately effective in the long term”) and tighter micro focus, it would meet the comprehensive-judgement standard.


2024 – Market-Based Environmental Policy

Top-band criterion: Makes a comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of one market-based policy to manage environmental issues in Australia.

Your answer demonstrates understanding of a legitimate market-based policy (the carbon pricing scheme) and notes its quick implementation and eventual political failure, which indicates evaluative thinking. However, it falls short of the “comprehensive” standard because it lacks reference to the economic mechanism of market-based instruments (price signals, internalising externalities), and omits quantitative or contemporary evidence (e.g. emissions reductions or Safeguard Mechanism data). It provides some relevant evaluation but would need a current example and clearer discussion of how pricing carbon affects firm behaviour to satisfy the top-band criterion.
 

lawfirm

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That’s shockingly worded. Also as far as I’m concerned, tariffs at least at a hsc level are blanket, that sounds like a quota
 

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