Next Years Oscars. Read my Predictions! (3 Viewers)

[Silverstone]

Breakdown - Most Potential.

Best Actor: Leading Role


Kevin Bacon, The Woodsman
Gael Garcia Bernal, The Bad Education
Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Daniel Day-Lewis, Rose and the Snake
Johnny Depp, Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Unchain My Heart
Morgan Freeman, Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, The Ladykillers
Tom Hanks, The Terminal
Kevin Kline, De-Lovely
Bill Murray, The Life Aquatic
Liam Neeson, Kinsey
Jeff Bridges, The Door in the Floor
Jim Cavaziel, The Passion of the Christ
Tom Cruise, Collatarel
Johnny Depp, The Libertine
Morgan Freeman, Freedomland
Jude Law, Closer
John Malkovich, Art School Confidential
Ewan McGregor, Stay
Sean Penn, The Assasination of Richard Nixon
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
Robert Redford, An Unfinished Life
Denzel Washington, The Manchurian Candidate
Ben Kinglsey, A Sound of Thunder
Ian McKellen, Emile
Jeremy Northam, Toyer
Clive Owen, King Arthur
Joaquin Phoenix, The Village
Dennis Quaid, The Alamo
Kevin Spacey, Beyond the Sea
John Travolta, Be Cool
Billy Bob Thornton, The Alamo
Robin Williams, The Final Cut
Patrick Wilson, Phantom of the Opera

Best Actress Leading:


Joan Allen, The Upside of Anger
Kim Basinger, The Door in the Floor
Annette Bening, Being Julia
Cate Blanchett, The Life Aquatic
Sandra Bullock, Crash
Courteney Cox-Arquette, November
Claire Danes, Flora Plum
Judi Dench, Ladies in Lavendar
Edie Falco, Family of the Year
Helen Hunt, A Good Woman
Nicole Kidman, Birth
Nicole Kidman, Dogville
Nicole Kidman, The Interpreter
Nicole Kidman, The Stepford Wives
Kiera Knightley, Tulip Fever
Laura Linney, P.S.
Jennifer Lopez, An Unfinished Life
Helen Mirren, The Clearing
Julianne Moore, The Forgotten
Julianne Moore, Freedomland
Natalie Portman, Closer
Emmy Rossum, Phantom of the Opera
Mira Sorvino, The Final Cut
Tilda Swinton, Young Adam
Uma Thurman, Kill Bill Volume 2
Naomi Watts, I Heart Huckabees
Naomi Watts, Stay
Naomi Watts, We Don't Live Here Anymore
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Reese Witherspoon, Vanity Fair
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Robin Wright-Penn, A Home At the End of the World
Rene Zellweger, Bridget Jones:The Edge of Reason
Rene Zellweger, Cinderella Man
Catherine Zeta-Jones, The Terminal

Best Supporting Actress:

Eileen Atkins, Vanity Fair
Lauren Bacall, Birth
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Kate Beckinsale, The Aviator
Maria Bello, Silver City
Thora Birch, Silver City
Brenda Blethyn, Beyond the Sea
Erika Christensen, The Upside of Anger
Julie Christie, Neverland
Patricia Clarkson, Dogville
Patricia Clarkson, The Dying Gaul
Hope Davis, Proof
Rosario Dawson, Alexander
Laura Dern, We Don't Live Here Anymore
Minnie Driver, Phantom of the Opera
Kirsten Dunst, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Romola Garai, Vanity Fair
Irma P. Hall, Collatarel
Irma P. Hall, The Ladykillers
Marcia Gay Harden, P.S.
Rosemary Harris, Being Julia
Salma Hayek, Paint
Anjelica Huston, The Life Aquatic
Allison Janney, Winter Solstice
Angelina Jolie, Alexander
Angelina Jolie, Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow
Cherry Jones, The Village
Ashley Judd, De-Lovely
Catherine Keener, Rose and the Snake
Regina King, Unchain My Heart
Angela Lansbury, The Last Unicorn
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Machinist
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Mia Maestro, The Motorcycle Diaries
Bette Midler, The Stepford Wives
Maia Morgenstern, The Passion of the Christ
Samantha Morton, The Libertine
Vanessa Redgrave, The Assumption
Miranda Richardson, Phantom of the Opera
Gena Rowlands, The Notebook
Greta Scacchi, Beyond the Sea
Kyra Sedgewick, The Woodsman
Chloe Sevigny, The Assumption
Sissy Spacek, A Home At the End of the World
Meryl Streep, Flora Plum
Meryl Streep, The Manchurian Candidate
Lily Tomlin, I Heart Huckabees
Kerry Washington, Unchain My Heart
Sigourney Weaver, The Village
Celia Weston, The Village
Kate Winslet, Neverland
Kate Winslet, Romance & Cigarettes
Evan Rachel Wood, The Upside of Anger
Alfre Woodard, The Forgotten


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IS BORING.

Now --- The Predictions. *see next reply*

 

[Silverstone]

ACTUAL PREDICTIONS

* Denotes Prediction To Win
^ Denotes 2nd In line to Win

Best Actor: Leading Role

Leonardo Di Caprio: The Aviator
Bill Murray: The Life Aquatic
Johnny Depp: Neverland ^
Jim Carrey: Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind *
Jamie Foxx: Unchain My Heart

Next in Line: Jim Caviezal (Passion Of The Christ)

Best Actress: Leading Role

Jennifer Lopez: An Unfinished Life *
Nicole Kidman: Dogville/Birth/The Stepford Wives
Reese Witherspoon: Vanity Fair
Anette Benning: Being Julia ^
Kate Winslet: Eternal Sunshine Of the Spotless Mind

Next in Line: BEWARE! Nicole's 3 powerhouse film roles can be split CRUELLY and not get her a nomination! In that case, Sandra Bullock is in for CRASH.

Best Supporting Actor:

Jim Broadbent: Vanity Fair
Tom Wilkinson: Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Morgan Freeman: An Unfinished Life
Owen Wilson: The Life Aquatic
Bob Hoskins: Vanity Fair

The Best Supporting Actor predix Suck in my opinion, this early, its ANYONES game, and its a bad race to even predict.

Best Supporting Actress:

Regina King: Unchain My Heart
Kirsten Dunst: Eternal Sunshine Of the Spotless Mind
Hope Davis: Proof
Angela Lansbury: The Last Unicorn
Cate Blanchette: The Aviator

 

[johnson]

where are you getting all these predictions from..?

 

[Silverstone]

Alot of hard work, and alot of research. Me and a friend did the breakdown.

 

[Benny_]

A lot of research on IMDB perhaps? I don't see how you can predict Jlo to win best actress really, she's the best of the popstars turned actors, but that certainly doesn't make her oscar calibre. Nor do I think Jim Carrey will be recognised for Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind. It's been very well received by critics and audiences alike, but ultimately Carrey won't win simply because he isn't well enough recognised as a serious actor. The film also won't be adquetly recognised because it's a Kaufman movie, and they're just a little too creative for the academy's tastes. Jim Caviezal also won't win because The Passion of the Christ was just way too controversial, and hence not Oscar material.

I'd be interested in your methodology in breaking this down considering the fact that you haven't seen a single one of these films, perhaps Dogville and The Passion of the Christ excepted. I'm guessing the only way is to read synopses of each film and gauge it based a combination of how closely it fits with the oscar winning formula, the subject matter of each film, and the reputation of the actors.

Anyway I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the academy will decide to compensate Bill this year and give him best actor in recognition of his Bob Harris in Lost in Translation. I felt it was a fair bit better than Sean Penn's Jimmy in Mystic River.
It seems to be a year of big remakes to big movies. Dawn of the Dead, The Ladykillers and of course The Manchurian Candidate all being remade for the first time, and Phatom of the Opera is getting yet another remake (well.. there have been a few film versions). Ultimately the remake status of these films will no doubt effect their chances at winning.

 

[Silverstone]

1. JLo --- Critically Acclaimed. Unfinished Life is directed by Lasse Halstrom. Stars Robert Redford. Its very, very oscar baity. Plus, the Golden Globes CANT RESIST Jennifer, having already nominated her for Selena.

2. Jim Carrey will break through like Johnny Depp finally did.

3. IMDB is what i used, and i researched Screenwirters, directors, et al.

 

[simmic]

im not sure about reese witherspoon and uma thurman...or about bridget jones (theres just a thing about sequels...with the exception of lotr)

this is a pretty long list...u sure ure not just listing all the impressive movies coming out and the people staring in them??

what about best picture?? what r ure predictions?

 

[Macccca]

i would like to see the movies first, but i do agree that seeing a movie dont make much difference to who takes the oscar.

 

[Silverstone]

The Passion Of The Christ
The Aviator
Vanity Fair
An Unfinished Life
Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind

Needs to be refined, not too sure, but its my current Best Picture Nominees Prediction list.

 

[Silverstone]

Changed Best Actor Predictions as Morgan Freeman (like others) will get his recognition in the Supporting Actor category. Thats where the overdue actors can pick up some awards.

So im taking his name off the Best Actor list, and I added bill Murray for THE LIFE AQUATIC.

 

[Benny_]

JLo is a critically acclaimed actress? I guess Out of Sight was a decent movie.. Selena I haven't seen. She was in U Turn.. which was also decent but is probably Oliver Stone's worst film. Other than that...well I guess Cher was utter rubbish in the few films she was in before Moonstruck as well.

Johnny Depp was recognised, but his chances were undermined because of a combination of factors, not least because of the character he played and the film he played in. I think the same will probably apply to Jim Carrey. It'd be a shame if he did win though, Johnny Depp's a much better actor and his Jack Sparrow was wonderful... unless his performance is spectacular of course.

 

[Silverstone]

JLo's reviews thus far have been astounding! Thats what im referring to in the "acclaimed" department.

 

[um..]

really, cant you put your resources in to something a bit more productive? it all seems a bit fanatical

 

[Loz#1]

And didn't this year's Oscars just end?

Originally posted by um..
really, cant you put your resources in to something a bit more productive? it all seems a bit fanatical

I think there's something called the HSC.

 

[Silverstone]

Um, okay! I have a strong passion for this okay? And i have for years! How does devoting some of my time to this, while having a very productive school life, differ from people who spend time w/ Footy scores, Soccer, etc. Tell Me!

So, unless you have to make a valid contribution to the thread wihout criticising something i have put alot of time and effort into doing, for personal satisfaction, why dont you just IGNORE this thread?

My recreation IS my recreation! It was a valid contribution to an ENTERTAINMENT thread. The Academy Awards play a very solid part in the entertainment industry.

Jeez, you stained this thread like a White shirt covered in Barbeque Sauce.

I manage to maintain a great school and academic life, which translates to my implementing of oscar history to current events. Dont get me started on Oscar Math -- for example, Sean Penn broke the Golden Globe curse when for Seven YEars, teh Golden Globes winner of Best Actor (which makes 2 each year, one for Drama and one for Comedy/Musical) hasnt gone on to win Best Actor at the Academy Awards.

Get Stuffed seems logical to me, yet imate.

 

[Misturi]

How much time have you got on your hands exactly?

 

[GemmaHavok]

Yea... shouldn't you be studying or something, or listening to bullshit that Daniel tells you?

 

[Silverstone]

Well, i didnt know much about what happened at the time. I told Hayden to tell you taht i had NOTHIGN against you, since he explained it to me. Im angry at Daniel too. Can we all possibly forget this? Its too stressing for any of us.

Anyway, i study heaps, and try and fit in 3 hours each night. I dont have a study period or anything and my work is pretty heavy. Me doing things like this with a couple of friends is alot of fun for me.

 

[um..]

just seems like an odd form of recreation, really.

very odd.

 

[Silverstone]

BUMP.

Predictions To Win:

Jim Carrey and Jennifer Lopez. Actor and Actress Respectively.

Kirsten Dunst and Morgan Freeman. Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress Respectively.

Martin Scorsese. Director "The Aviator"

Screenplay: Vanity Fair and An Unfinished Life

Animated Feature: The Polar Express.