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Stas' official betting thread (2 Viewers)

stazi

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RiCe_GrOwEr said:
Is there anything you don't bet on stazi?
you ever losing your virginity.

Ok, so the final result for this week of betting is:
Put in: $30
Return: $59.45


:D :D !!!
 

stazi

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Hhaha i'd rather cash the winnings and keep putting in $30. I'm not one to take major risks.
Best return was where I placed $1 on Federer to beat (off) some guy 2 sets to 1. $5.25 return. I wish I put in like a million.
 

stazi

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Ok, as for this round of tips I'm focusing on some good returns for the world cup.

Put in $30 again (cashed the $30 out that I won last round and kept initial money)

Price/Bet/Payout
Code:
Accepted 	2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - CZECH REPUBLIC v NORWAY - Head To Head - CZECH REPUBLIC  Win	1.40 	5.00 	7.00 	 
Accepted 	2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - BAHRAIN v TRINIDAD & TOBAGO - Head To Head - TRINIDAD & TOBAGO  Win	3.50 	5.00 	17.50 	 
Accepted 	2006 World Cup - Finals Qualification - Turkey v Switzerland - SWITZERLAND  Win	1.20 	20.00 	24.00 	 
 Accepted 	2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - AUSTRALIA v URUGUAY - Head To Head - AUSTRALIA  Win	 2.40 	 5.00 	 12.00 	 
Accepted 	2006 World Cup - Finals Qualification - Australia v Uruguay - AUSTRALIA  Win	3.20 	5.00 	16.00
And I've made my biggest bet ever. $20 :p On switzerland to qualify. It's a smart bet, even though I only get $4 return (but $4 is lunch sometimes).
The way I see it, it can't go wrong. Switzerland getting beat by 3 goals :p (with 0 goals scored). Highly unlikely.
Largest return is Trinidad and tobago's wc qualifigaytion at $3.50. I think they can do it. All it takes is a 1-0 lead to them.
 
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UGFighter

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haha,

US$12.40 on Uruguay to win the game... which will win me US$25.67

Come on!!

I'll be at the game today too.

Other bet I have on atm is Flloyd Mayweather to stop Sharmba Mitchell under 10.5 rounds. I don't think there's anyone who can touch Flloyd at the moment. And Flloyd does have power, at least I think he does after he stopped Gatti in the 6th round.
 
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stazi

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Put in $30 again (cashed the $30 out that I won last round and kept initial money)

2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - AUSTRALIA v URUGUAY - Head To Head - AUSTRALIA Win
Odds: 2.40
Bet: 5.00
Return: 12.00
Status: WIN!!!!

2006 World Cup - Finals Qualification - Australia v Uruguay - AUSTRALIA Win
Odds: 3.20
Bet: 5.00
Return: 16.00
Status: WIN!!!!

Accepted 2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - BAHRAIN v TRINIDAD & TOBAGO - Head To Head - TRINIDAD & TOBAGO Win
Odds: 3.50
Bet: 5.00
Return: 17.50
Status: WIN!!!!

Accepted 2006 World Cup - Finals Qualification - Turkey v Switzerland - SWITZERLAND Win
Odds: 1.20
Bet: 20.00
Return: 24.00
Status: WIN!!!!


2006 World Cup - Qualification Matches - CZECH REPUBLIC v NORWAY - Head To Head - CZECH REPUBLIC Win
Odds: 1.40
Bet: 5.00
Return: 7.00

Put in: $30
Return: $76.50!!!!! :D :D

I <3 the world cup.
so far i've put in $30 for a total return of 75.95 :)
 
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ND

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Apparently the NRL betting markets are pretty inefficient (i.e. you can find value), i had a link to a paper about it in my old finance textbook, but i've sold it.

I've been practicing counting cards for when i go up to the gold coast, cos Jupiters is good for counting. (star city is shit)
 

stazi

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haha im not smart enough to count cards.

I don't mind lower returns on NRL. Considering I was ranked top 30 in the official NRL comp, I think i'd still overall get a hefty profit. Even if I bet on favourites
 

ND

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By inefficient, i mean that the market is not pricing risk properly, which is good cos you can take advantage of it. IIRC, it doesn't give enough weighting to the homeground advantage (i.e. the payoffs for homeground wins are higher than they should be). Also i think it said that the payoffs for underdogs were too high. This means that if you bet on everymatch where underdog is also the home team (for that team), in the long run you should make profits.
 

UGFighter

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you betting on anything atm, stazi?

I made back my money I lost on fucking Uruaguy with Floyd Mayweather stopping Mitchell in the 6th round today... + a whole heap of MMA fights that were on today.

The odds suck so bad in MMA, the favourite will sometimes only be paying $1.10-1.30 to win.. however, styles make fights and sometimes you can pick up great bets when you believe the underdog is going to win.

I'm playing with a small amount of money, just betting on favourites and getting a decent spread of bets, even if I have no idea about the teams... if I come out in front, I might increase the money I put on each bet.

I think there's money to be made in betting if you're smart about it and work with probabilities to remove the emotion in it.
 
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stazi

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i actually made a string of bad bets. I have $30 riding on the aussies to win the cricket at $1.20 from memory.
I also put $5 on germany to win the world cup @ $9; $1 for australia to win at huge odds
Also, $10 on north carolina to win their nfl game at $1.62
A bit on soccer
$5 on north carolina to win the superbowl at $8.
 

UGFighter

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Here's my latest...

Ticket Accepted Event Date Type Description Risking To Win
50837718-1
1 10:29pm
19-Nov-05 4:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham for Game 1.667 5.00 3.33
Eng. Premier

50837731-1
2 10:30pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Chievo vs Ascoli for Game 1.667 5.00 3.33
Serie A

50837752-1
3 10:32pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Fiorentina vs AC Milan for Game 2.440 3.00 4.32
Serie A

50837770-1
4 10:33pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Lecce vs Siena for Game 2.250 5.19 6.49
Serie A

50837781-1
5 10:34pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Livorno vs Empoli for Game 1.952 7.00 6.67
Serie A

50837829-1
6 10:34pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Reggina vs Cagliari for Game 2.100 5.00 5.50
Serie A

50837843-1
7 10:35pm
19-Nov-05 5:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Treviso vs Palermo for Game 2.150 5.00 5.75
Serie A

50837877-1
8 10:36pm
19-Nov-05 7:58am
20-Nov-05 Soccer
Money Line Middlesbrough vs Fulham for Game 1.909 5.00 4.55
Eng. Premier

40.19
 

stazi

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nice bets mate. good luck. i just nearly fucked up a faggot. shit. i dont know what to do. i cant sleep. he slapped me on the arse . fuck. if my mates didnt calm me down i dont know what id do. i sounded the alarm by punching in a window of a store. fuck.
 

UGFighter

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bwahaha, I came out $5 ahead... it seems I didn't end up picking the favourites in everything like I thought I did? nfi what happened, maybe the favourites changed as it got closer to the game

and why would you fuck someone up for slapping your ass? it's no big deal
 

stazi

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oh i was quite drunk to say the least last night. downed 20 drinks. we photocoppied coupons at the comsoc thing. best. idea. ever. and i could fuck you up. but not by force. in the anus.
 

UGFighter

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haha, oh well.

I fucking ran from a fight on Saturday night... I was standing outside a party talking to a mate I haven't seen in over 2 years, some guy walks past, all drugged up no doubt.. Wants to fight,

I said Ok, walked out onto the road to meet him - clinched, tried to take him down, but the mother fucker latched onto my neck and started biting it, I pulled back a bit and he had enough space to free up his arms... he had a 1L bottle of jim beam in his hand he started swinging it at me

so I started running.. but, I still want to fuck this cunt up so I'm hoping he drops the bottle... he doesn't, instead he goes and reefs out a fucking metal fence, about 5m long and starts chasing my mate and I around a car with it... we do a few laps, then he drops it.. starts chasing us and swinging this bottle at us.

Crazy how strong the cunt was.. reefing out a metal fence 5m long which is held in by 2 wooden posts, then picks the fucking thing up... speed is my guess, I dunno. I fought a drugged up guy once before, but I was sober and could see straight so it was a bit different :p
 

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