The bookies are only usually wrong on a few sports....
PL will be dropped when the coalition "discovers a budget black hole" (don't tell me that all this BS about treasury being political isn't just a pre-cursor for that.
Townie mate you're speaking like the coalition has already won! There is still hope comrade...Prediction #3
Abbot would have to stuff up pretty badly to not win at this point
Agreed
Rudd won't last one caucus meeting if they lose the election.
Until the next efficiency dividend and cut to the public service...
So says the man who once, twice, a thousand times told us that Gillard would contest the election.
Coming from the man who was sure Rudd would give us a humane approach on asylum seekers, nobody is right about everything.
Windmills do not work that way
Overseas resettlement is preferable to overseas indefinite detention. At any rate that goes to policy, it was about the internal dynamics of the Labor party which I was suggesting you should by now be less trustful of your intuition.
Ha! Your tune has changed. I wish some of your older poss were still available for me to quote here, but alas...
Not entirely sure it has , changed from when I was sixteen perhaps.
Your last sentence is kind of why I think he could possibly stay on. I imagine he'll willingly step down and if he gets walloped he definitely will but if he gets in excess of say 68 seats there will be an argument to be made in his favour. More to the point the mass exodus of ministers particularly from the old factional guard means the alternatives are not abundant. In a different set of circumstances Smith, Roxon and Combet might otherwise have been plausible alternatives but they're all gone now. Assuming Bowen and Albanese genuinely support Rudd rather than joined him in a marriage of convenience it's really heavily reliant I think on the mindsets of Burke and Shorten. And if they both decide they don't want it at that point in time, who else is there? Pibersek? Beattie? Swan?
