HSC Extension 2 Mathematics Predictions / Thoughts (1 Viewer)

[MrGresh]

The edit says it’s the trend from previous years

Idk man, trend from the last couple of years is max 75 for an e4 cutoff....

Mathematics Extension 2 – HSC Raw Marks Database

rawmarks.info

I understand this year's will be higher but unless there is some magic behind this, then it is a (slightly more) educated guess.

 

[Xanthi]

Aligning data, since we have no idea how the cohort did

Nesa uses a linear model, so you can figure it out that way once you set a b6 cutoff with appropriate rounding.

The b6 cutoffs are predictions by comparing previous years performance/difficulty with the general perception of this year's- which is difficult to predict hence the huge uncertainty range.

 

[MrGresh]

Nesa uses a linear model, so you can figure it out that way once you set a b6 cutoff with appropriate rounding.

The b6 cutoffs are predictions by comparing previous years performance/difficulty with the general perception of this year's- which is difficult to predict hence the huge uncertainty range.

Ok fair enough. Ik I sound like a douche rn but are u an expert in 4u exams? like a tutor or teacher or something?

 

[Xanthi]

Idk man, trend from the last couple of years is max 75 for an e4 cutoff....

Mathematics Extension 2 – HSC Raw Marks Database

rawmarks.info

I understand this year's will be higher but unless there is some magic behind this, then it is a (slightly more) educated guess.

Yep, all the b6 cutoffs themselves are a educated guess but once you set that the rest is consistent- so at least that part isn't a guess.

 

[Xanthi]

Ok fair enough. Ik I sound like a douche rn but are u an expert in 4u exams? like a tutor or teacher or something?

Nope! Just something to sort of compile all the guesses going on about how some score is going to align

 

[idkkdi]

Ok fair enough. Ik I sound like a douche rn but are u an expert in 4u exams? like a tutor or teacher or something?

"HSC: 2020" on his profile.

 

[MrGresh]

Nope! Just something to sort of compile all the guesses going on about how some score is going to align

Oh ok cool, just wondering because the graph looked v fancy

I sincerely hope your graph is wrong though because I think i got 80 :/

 

[MrGresh]

"HSC: 2020" on his profile.

Wasnt there a few minutes ago i don't believe

or im an idiot

or all of the above

 

[idkkdi]

Wasnt there a few minutes ago i don't believe

or im an idiot

or all of the above

you're an idiot ^^

 

[MrGresh]

you're an idiot ^^

Eh I've come to terms with it

 

[Speed’o’sound Sonic]

you're an idiot ^^

Let’s keep it civil aye

 

[B1andB2]

since this years exam was easy, does it mean it'll be a lot harder next year?

 

[Xanthi]

Oh ok cool, just wondering because the graph looked v fancy

I sincerely hope your graph is wrong though because I think i got 80 :/

Yep, let's hope the alignment is as good as possible

 

[Speed’o’sound Sonic]

since this years exam was easy, does it mean it'll be a lot harder next year?

Nope, don’t think that’s how it works. Depending on how the deviation is they’ll ‘balance’ the difficulty to ensure fair spread next year

 

[B1andB2]

Nope, don’t think that’s how it works. Depending on how the deviation is they’ll ‘balance’ the difficulty to ensure fair spread next year

cool thanks

 

[Speed’o’sound Sonic]

Well guys we reached 20 pages 2 days ago we only had 4 and I’m like half of the messages ... should really get studying ahah

 

[MrGresh]

Well guys we reached 20 pages 2 days ago we only had 4 and I’m like half of the messages ... should really get studying ahah

Nah i'm good to keep chatting here

 

[idkkdi]

Let’s keep it civil aye

or im an idiot

just answering his question ma dude.

 

[MrGresh]

Interesting: Rui over at AN (which seems to be a dirty word over on this forum haha) reckons high 70's cutoff...

"I think a lot of people underestimate the paper's difficulty. It leaned on the easier end of things, but I didn't really feel it was a blessing or anything.

I feel like worst case E4 cut-off would be around 81. I still think high end 70s should be enough. But who knows; won't find out until release of results day at earliest."

So I guess we will see!

 

[idkkdi]

Interesting: Rui over at AN (which seems to be a dirty word over on this forum haha) reckons high 70's cutoff...

"I think a lot of people underestimate the paper's difficulty. It leaned on the easier end of things, but I didn't really feel it was a blessing or anything.

I feel like worst case E4 cut-off would be around 81. I still think high end 70s should be enough. But who knows; won't find out until release of results day at earliest."

So I guess we will see!

some of the questions seem stupid easy. q15 first part in particular stands out with a proof by literally factorising K^3 + 1 into (k+1)(k^2-k+1). imo, lots of questions looked like easy marks.