It's hard to say.bshoc said:Has anyones general perception been from talking to people that theres going to be one heck of a backlash against the ALP that these polls aren't capturing?
Debnam may not make it into the 50% region on votes for him, but he sure as heck might on all the votes against Iemma.
The Laborites are attempting to promote the lack of an alternative, which is complete and utter rubbish. Liberal supporters on the other hand are promoting that a change of government is necessary to achieve some form of difference, and that the Opposition couldn't do any worse; after all elections occur every four years.
My predictions however are bad news for the Liberal Party, with a late swing highly unlikely, unless Sunday turns into a disaster.
ALP 56 Seats (gain South Coast, retain Newcastle), Coalition 31 Independents 6
I presume this will equate to a 2PP vote of around 56-44.
Whilst I do believe that a credible alternative does exist (what couldn't be credibleto this government), the ALP smear campaign will ulitmately have the last say, as will the perceptionthat Iemma is 'change'. I am however only going by the poll indicators, with little andecdotal evidence to go by.